• P-ISSN 0974-6846 E-ISSN 0974-5645

Indian Journal of Science and Technology


Indian Journal of Science and Technology

Year: 2015, Volume: 8, Issue: 22, Pages: 1-9

Original Article

Simulation of Climate Change Impacts on South-Western Asia Heavy Precipitation (Case Study: Kurdistan Province, Iran)


This study aims at simulating the impacts of climate change on Kurdistan rainfall using 3-dimensional models ofthe general circulation of the atmosphere. Using data from six synoptic stations and employing Lars model, this study was carried out. The results of the calculation of bias and absolute errors on the modeled parameters for all stations represent that the model’s power in coverage of the variance of the parameters under study was considerably acceptable. The best rainfall simulation is observed at Sanandaj station with absolute error of 1.83 and the weakest was 8.22 at Marivan station. The average heavy rainfall in Kurdistan province is increasing for the upcoming climate period ranging from 0.1 days in central parts and north-east Kurdistan to 0.7 day in other parts. The highest rate of increase among the means of heavy rainfall can be observed at the west corner and Marivan station.
Keywords: Climate Change, Heavy Rainfall, Kurdistan Province, Lars Model.


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